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Delaware's Water Supply Coordinating Council
Updated Supply and Demand Projections through 2020
The
drought of 2002 replaced the drought of 1965-66 as the drought of
record in northern Delaware. Because streamflows on the Brandywine
Creek reached record low flows (thereby reducing safe yields), the
WSCC reevaluated supply and demand projections for northern Delaware.
This assumes all of the projects on the 1999 WSCC "A List"
(about 1 bg) are implemented by the end of 2004. The WSCC adopted
these updated supply and demand projections for northern Delaware
on October 17, 2002. The WSCC concluded that 262 to 450 mg of additional
storage would be needed by 2020 to meet peak demands during a drought
of record. The WSCC adopted these projections as the minimum water
supply necessary to accommodate the peak water demand of the projected
population in 2020 without water restrictions, even with a recurrence
of conditions similar to the drought of 2002. These projections are
based on a set of conservative assumptions of a future environmental
standard (7Q50 or 7Q10) along the Brandywine Creek by 2020 and peak
monthly water demands occurring during a drought lasting 75 days.
The following table summarizes the updated supply/demand projections:
Scenario
Year
|
Supply
(mgd) |
Demand
(mgd) |
+/-
(mgd) |
Volume
(mgd) |
| 2003 |
82.0 |
83.3 |
-1.3 |
-97 |
| 2010 |
82.0 |
86.3 |
-4.3 |
-322 |
| 2020 |
82.0 |
88.0 |
-6.0 |
-450 |
Future Water Supply Options
At
the November 21 and December 12, 2002 meetings, the WSCC identified
a series of additional water supply projects that could be constructed
to meet a projected 2020 deficit of 262 to 450 mg, depending on the
assumption of minimum stream flow standards (7Q50 or 7Q10) that could
be imposed along the Brandywine Creek by 2020. Members of the WSCC
then nominated projects that each would sponsor and have the potential
for groundbreaking on a fast track status. Each of the sponsors provided
a report summarizing the status of their project with a conceptual
evaluation of project feasibility and volume (mg/mgd) based on the
following criteria:
Engineering: Estimate feasibility from a technical,
hydraulic, and/or geologic perspective(s).
Environmental: List the environmental/ecological benefits and constraints.
Regulatory: List federal, state, and local permitting requirements.
Economic: Estimate the capital plus annual operating and maintenance
costs.
Community: Determine if the project will have community support.
Timing: Forecast chances for project groundbreaking and/or completion
by end of 2003.
The WSCC decided that the following options are most practical for
a new "A List" to close the 262 to 450 mg gap between water
supply and demand in northern Delaware projected for 2020:
|
Sponsor
|
Project
|
Volume
(mg)
|
Capital
Cost
(Cost/mg)
|
Status
|
City
of Wilmington
United Water Delaware |
Raise
Water Level in Hoopes Reservoir by 1 foot to 5 feet |
60-375 |
$4.0-$5.0
M
($13,333-$66,667) |
Retained
consultants for topographic, forestry, structural, and hydraulic
analysis. |
| City
of Wilmington |
Increase
Hoopes Pump Station Capacity |
36-510 |
$0.4-$9.2
M
($3,704-$18,039) |
City
retaining consultant to conduct $50,000 study with State DNREC
funding. |
| Artesian
Water Co. |
Aquifer
Storage and Recovery |
150 |
$1.2
M ($8,000) |
Retained
consultant to conduct testing at Wilmington Manor Gardens and
Artisans Village Sites. |
| United
Water Delaware |
Aquifer
Storage and Recovery |
225 |
$4.0M
($17,777) |
Retained
consultant to conduct testing near Del. City and Smalleys Pond.
Smalleys Pond site study completed:not feasible. |
| United
Water Delaware |
Modification
of Tidal Capture Structure Operating Plan |
75
to 500 |
None
Identified |
Retained
ecological consultant, waiting to conduct low flow testing during
Summer 2004. |
Summary
The
water purveyors on the Water Supply Coordinating Council are working
deliberately to develop additional water supplies in northern New
Castle County. The Newark Reservoir is under design as scheduled and
the City of Wilmington has determined that water is available from
deep storage in Hoopes Reservoir. The City of Newark and Artesian
Water Company are improving their groundwater supplies. Artesian installed
a carbon filtration plant at the Llangollen Wellfield when a semivolatile
chemical was discovered in the water supply.
The water purveyors have improved the capacity and reliability of
the northern New Castle County interconnected system. Based on the
work to date, the members of the Water Supply Coordinating Council
are more prepared to face the next drought, whenever that may occur.
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Water
Resources Agency
Institute
for Public Administration | College of
Human Services, Education & Public Policy
DGS Annex | University of Delaware |
Newark, DE 19716
phone 302 831 8971| water-info@udel.edu
| fax 302 831 4934
©University
of Delaware, all rights reserved
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